FEINBERG FORECAST: The Oscar Landscape Post-Hamptons, Pre-AFI

Every week through the 87th Oscars on Feb. 22, 2015, The Hollywood Reporter's awards analyst Scott Feinberg will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," wherein he presents a summary of major developments since the last update that helped to shape his current opinions and then lists his revised projections. For more about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, scroll to the bottom of this post.

Factoring into this week's Feinberg Forecast

BEST PICTURE Frontrunners Interstellar (Paramount) Boyhood (IFC Films) The Imitation Game (The Weinstein Co.) Unbroken (Universal) Into the Woods (Disney) Birdman (Fox Searchlight) The Theory of Everything (Focus Features) American Sniper (Warner Bros.) Whiplash (Sony Pictures Classics) Citizenfour (RADiUS-TWC, Participant Media, HBO) Major Threats Foxcatcher (Sony Pictures Classics) Gone Girl (20th Century Fox) Selma (Paramount) A Most Violent Year (A24) Chef (Open Road Films) Possibilities The Grand Budapest Hotel (Fox Searchlight) Wild (Fox Searchlight) Mr. Turner (Sony Pictures Classics) Get On Up (Universal) Still Alice (Sony Pictures Classics) Long Shots Fury (Sony) Inherent Vice (Warner Bros.) Noah (Paramount) The Judge (Warner Bros.) Exodus: Gods and Kings (20th Century Fox)

BEST DIRECTOR Frontrunners Christopher Nolan (Interstellar) Richard Linklater (Boyhood) Alejandro G. Inarritu (Birdman) Clint Eastwood (American Sniper) Morten Tyldum (The Imitation Game) Major Threats Angelina Jolie (Unbroken) Bennett Miller (Foxcatcher) David Fincher (Gone Girl) Damien Chazelle (Whiplash) Rob Marshall (Into the Woods) Possibilities Laura Poitras (Citizenfour) James Marsh (The Theory of Everything) Wes Anderson (The Grand Budapest Hotel) Mike Leigh (Mr. Turner) Ava DuVernay (Selma) Long Shots Paul Thomas Anderson (Inherent Vice) J.C. Chandor (A Most Violent Year) Jon Favreau (Chef) Jean-Marc Vallee (Wild) Ridley Scott (Exodus: Gods and Kings)

BEST ACTOR Frontrunners Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything) Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game) Michael Keaton (Birdman) Bradley Cooper (American Sniper) Jack O'Connell (Unbroken) Major Threats Matthew McConaughey (Interstellar) Ellar Coltrane (Boyhood) Steve Carell (Foxcatcher) Miles Teller (Whiplash) David Oyelowo (Selma) Chadwick Boseman (Get On Up) Channing Tatum (Foxcatcher) Bill Murray (St. Vincent) Possibilities Timothy Spall (Mr. Turner) Oscar Isaac (A Most Violent Year) Kevin Costner (Black and White) NEW Ben Affleck (Gone Girl) Jake Gyllenhaal (Nightcrawler) James Corden (Into the Woods) Mark Wahlberg (The Gambler) Long Shots Ralph Fiennes (The Grand Budapest Hotel) Robert DowneyJr. (The Judge) Brad Pitt (Fury) Joaquin Phoenix (Inherent Vice) Brendan Gleeson (Calvary) Al Pacino (The Humbling) Christian Bale (Exodus: Gods and Kings)

BEST ACTRESS Frontrunners Julianne Moore (Still Alice) Felicity Jones (The Theory of Everything) Reese Witherspoon (Wild) Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl) Shailene Woodley (The Fault in Our Stars) Major Threats Emily Blunt (Into the Woods) Amy Adams (Big Eyes) Hilary Swank (The Homesman) Jessica Chastain (A Most Violent Year) Anne Hathaway (Interstellar) Possibilities Anne Dorval (Mommy) Marion Cotillard (Two Days, One Night) Jessica Chastain (The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby: Them) Michelle Monaghan (Fort Bliss) Gugu Mbatha-Raw (Belle) Long Shots Anna Kendrick (The Last 5 Years) Greta Gerwig (The Humbling) Marion Cotillard (The Immigrant) Mia Wasikowska (Tracks) Jessica Chastain (Miss Julie)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Frontrunners Ethan Hawke (Boyhood) J.K. Simmons (Whiplash) Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher) Edward Norton (Birdman) Miyavi (Unbroken) Major Threats Tom Wilkinson (Selma) John Goodman (The Gambler) Robert Duvall (The Judge) Alec Baldwin (Still Alice) Christoph Waltz (Big Eyes) Possibilities Andy Serkis (Dawn of the Planet of the Apes) Logan Lerman (Fury) Michael Caine (Interstellar) Josh Brolin (Inherent Vice) Long Shots Albert Brooks (A Most Violent Year) Chris Pine (Into the Woods) Garrett Hedlund (Unbroken) Benicio Del Toro (Pablo Escobar: Paradise Lost)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Frontrunners Patricia Arquette (Boyhood) Keira Knightley (The Imitation Game) Laura Dern (Wild) Meryl Streep (Into the Woods) Emma Stone (Birdman) Major Threats Octavia Spencer (Black and White) NEW Jessica Chastain (Interstellar) Sienna Miller (American Sniper) Carmen Ejogo (Selma) Kristen Stewart (Still Alice) Possibilities Tilda Swinton (Snowpiercer) Julianne Moore (Maps to the Stars) Rene Russo (Nightcrawler) Ellen Burstyn (Interstellar) Long Shots Vanessa Redgrave (Foxcatcher) Katherine Waterston (Inherent Vice) Marion Bailey (Mr. Turner) Carrie Coon (Gone Girl)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Frontrunners The Imitation Game (Graham Moore) Unbroken (Ethan Coen, Joel Coen) The Theory of Everything (Anthony McCarten) American Sniper (Jason Dean Hall) Into the Woods (James Lapine) Major Threats Gone Girl (Gillian Flynn) Wild (Nick Hornby) Still Alice (Richard Glatzer, Wash Westmoreland) Inherent Vice (Paul Thomas Anderson) Possibilities The Fault in Our Stars (Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber) Men, Women & Children (Jason Reitman, Erin Cressida Wilson) The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby (Ned Benson) Long Shots How to Train Your Dragon 2 (Dean DeBlois)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Frontrunners Boyhood (Richard Linklater) Birdman (Armando Bo, Alexander Dinelaris, Nicolas Giabone, Alejandro G.Inarritu) Interstellar (Christopher Nolan, Jonathan Nolan) Whiplash (Damien Chazelle) Wild Tales (Damian Szifron) Major Threats Foxcatcher (Dan Futterman, E. Max Frye) The Grand Budapest Hotel (Wes Anderson) Chef (Jon Favreau) Mr. Turner (Mike Leigh) A Most Violent Year (J.C. Chandor) Possibilities Selma (Ava DuVernay, Paul Webb) Magic in the Moonlight (Woody Allen) Nightcrawler (Dan Gilroy) Love Is Strange (Ira Sachs, Mauricio Zacharias) Dear White People (Justin Simien) Long Shots Fury (David Ayer) Leviathan (Andrey Zvyagintsev, Oleg Negin) Big Eyes (Scott Alexander, Larry Karaszewski) Begin Again (John Carney) The Immigrant (James Gray, Richard Menello)

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FEINBERG FORECAST: The Oscar Landscape Post-Hamptons, Pre-AFI