FEINBERG FORECAST: Oscars Landscape in the Home Stretch

Every week until the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst, Scott Feinberg, will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," wherein he presents a summary of major developments since the last update that helped to shape his current opinions, and then lists his revised projections. For more about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, as well as an acronyms key, scroll to the bottom of this post.

The week ahead:

The week that was:

Without further ado, here is the forecast...

BEST PICTURE Nominees 1. 12 Years a Slave (Fox Searchlight, 10/18, R, trailer) PGA, HFPA, BFCA, AFI, BSFC, TIFF, SAG, DGA, IFP, BAFTA, FI, ACE, ADG, ASC, CDG 2. Gravity (Warner Bros., 10/4, PG-13, trailer) DGA, PGA, AFI, LAFCA (tie), HFPA, BFCA, BAFTA, ACE, ADG, ASC, CAS, VES 3. American Hustle (Sony, 12/13, TBA, trailer) SAG, AFI, NYFCC, DGA, PGA, HFPA, BFCA, WGA, BAFTA, ACE, ADG, CDG 4. The Wolf of Wall Street (Paramount, 12/25, R, trailer) AFI, DGA, PGA, HFPA, BFCA, WGA, ACE, ADG 5. Philomena (The Weinstein Co., TBA, TBA, trailer) HFPA, BAFTA, FI, CDG 6. Captain Phillips (Sony, 10/11, PG-13, trailer) AFI, DGA, PGA, HFPA, BFCA, WGA, BAFTA, ACE, ADG, ASC, CAS, VES 7. Nebraska (Paramount, 11/22, R, trailer) AFI, PGA, HFPA, BFCA, WGA,FI, ACE, ASC, CDG 8. Dallas Buyers Club (Focus Features, 11/1, R, trailer) SAG, PGA, BFCA, WGA, CDG 9. Her (Warner Bros., 12/18, TBA, trailer) AFI, NBR, LAFCA (tie), PGA, HFPA, BFCA, WGA, ACE, ADG, CDG

BEST DIRECTOR Nominees 1. Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity) DGA, HFPA, BFCA, LAFCA, NYFCO, BAFTA 2. Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave) NYFCC, BSFC, DGA, HFPA, BFCA, BAFTA, FI 3. David O. Russell (American Hustle) DGA, HFPA, BFCA, BAFTA 4. Martin Scorsese (The Wolf of Wall Street) DGA, BFCA, BAFTA 5. Alexander Payne (Nebraska)

BEST LEADING ACTOR Nominees 1. Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club) SAG, HFPA, BFCA, IFP, HFA, FI 2. Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street) HFPA, BAFTA 3. Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave) BSFC, NYFCO, SAG, HFPA, BFCA, IFP, BAFTA, FI 4. Bruce Dern (Nebraska) NBR, LAFCA, CAN, SAG, HFPA, BFCA, BAFTA, FI 5. Christian Bale (American Hustle) HFPA, BFCA, BAFTA

BEST LEADING ACTRESS Nominees 1. Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine) SAG, HFPA, BFCA, LAFCA (tie), NYFCC, NSFC, BSFC, NYFCO, IFP, BAFTA, FIBAFTA 2. Judi Dench (Philomena) SAG, HFPA, BFCA, BAFTA 3. Amy Adams (American Hustle) SAG, HFPA, BAFTA 4. Sandra Bullock (Gravity) HFA, SAG, HFPA, BFCA, BAFTA 5. Meryl Streep (August: Osage County) SAG, HFPA, BFCA

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Projected Nominees 1. Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club) SAG, HFPA, BFCA, LAFCA (tie), NYFCC, NYFCO, FI 2. Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave) SAG, HFPA, BFCA, BAFTA, FI 3. Bradley Cooper (American Hustle) HFPA, BFCA, BAFTA 4. Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street) 5. Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips) SAG, HFPA, BFCA, BAFTA

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Projected Nominees 1. Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave) SAG, BFCA, LAFCA, NYFCO, HFPA, BAFTA, FI 2. Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle) HFPA, NYFCC, NSFC, SAG, BFCA, BAFTA 3. June Squibb (Nebraska) BSFC, SAG, BFCA, HFPA, FI 4. Julia Roberts (August: Osage County) HFA, SAG, BFCA, HFPA, BAFTA 5. Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine) HFPA, BAFTA, FI

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FEINBERG FORECAST: Oscars Landscape in the Home Stretch