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The woes of Kaisa Group Holdings Ltd. show investors will demand yields of at least 10 percent to buy Chinese real-estate junk bonds amid growing wariness of state interference in the property market.
Rates on dollar-denominated debt sold by the nations developers rose to 13.03 percent on average yesterday, a Bank of America Merrill Lynch index shows. That compares with 8.94 percent six months ago. Some 41 builders paid an average 8.48 percent to raise $18 billion of dollar bonds in 2014, Bloomberg-compiled data shows.
Kaisa declined to say today whether it has made a $25.625 million coupon payment, due yesterday, on $500 million of 10.25 percent 2020 notes. The semi-annual coupon falls on Jan. 8 and July 8 every year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The builder defaulted on a bank loan on Dec. 31, after its chairman quit and projects in its home city of Shenzhen were blocked by authorities without explanation.
As long as the uncertainty is there, the market will find it hard to price bonds according to their intrinsic value, Peter Jeggli, a money manager and head of credit research at Fisch Asset Management AG in Zurich, said in an interview yesterday. If things get worse, better quality names probably need to see 10 percent yields before investors step in. Fisch Asset manages $8.5 billion of notes.
Kaisas $500 million of 2020 securities were sold to investors at par, or 100 cents on the dollar, in January 2013. They touched a record-low 29.901 cents on Jan. 7 and are rising in trade today.
I got very scared of corporate governance in the property sector, said Jeggli, citing the hidden hands behind recent management upheavals in cases like Kaisa and Agile Property Holding Ltd. Jeggli sold his Kaisa notes last quarter.
Recent events have underscored the need to price in a higher risk premium for Asian, particularly Chinese, high-yield bonds, according to Brigitte Posch, the London-based head of emerging market corporate debt at Babson Capital Management LLC. Political risk factors should no longer be relegated to background noise, she said.
The restrictions on Kaisas Shenzhen assets by the local government without official notification of a reason would be illegal in most developed markets, Posch said by e-mail today. The market has now had two developers affected by investigations, which suggests that perhaps the risk premium being priced into that specific sector was previously too low.
Speculative-grade Chinese notes are off to their worst start to a year on record and more developers may be at risk. Logan Property Holdings Co.s 11.25 percent notes due 2019 tumbled 23.7 cents in the five days through yesterday to a record-low 75 cents. Some of its projects were also blocked.
Regardless of whether the Kaisa coupon gets paid or not, the damage is already done, said Michel Lowy, chief executive officer at Hong Kong-based SC Lowy Financial (HK) Ltd., an independent bond and loan trading firm. Clearly, external factors that cant be analyzed may interfere with recoveries or value of Chinese bonds, and this will need to be priced in.
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Kaisa Hidden Hands Means 10% Threshold for Junk-Rated Builders
The last time PlanPhilly heard about a project proposed byCross PropertiesandBarton Partners at 2100 Hamilton Street in the Logan Square neighborhood,the Philadelphia Art Commission, after the applicants' presentation, quickly identified potential project-killing problems associated with cost and quality of construction and proximity to the Rodin Museum and the Benjamin Franklin Parkway.
As initially described in November by Barton principal Thomas C. Barton III, the $24 million endeavor would include 120 apartments targeted at millennials and empty nesters, starting at around $2,000 a month, and would feature a restaurant. It would also sit 60 feet from the revered Rodin Museum, on top of a defunct rail line that could have a future as an inner-city trail.
On Wednesday, the team was back in front of the commission with a much revised plan. The meeting followed two meetings between the developers and a subcommittee of the Art Commission to discuss feedback and suggestions related toaesthetics, construction costs, preservation, the appropriateness of the architecture, the way the development would frame the Rodin Museum, and the interaction the developer has had with the Logan Square Neighborhood Association and the Philadelphia Art Museum.
The project's footprint was shrunk in order to set it farther back from the Rodin Museum and the height was increased to 11 stories. The gash where the SEPTA tunnel right-of-way now exists is a covered "seamless" transition from Rodin to the new complex.
And the commissioners, after pointing out some issues with the identity of the building projects that are related to the facade, unanimously granted the team conceptual approval given changes that were made to the structure's volume and massing, orientation on the property and relationship to the Rodin Museum and parking, which will be completely underground.
Before final approval will be considered, the commissioners made it clear there would be much detail work to be tackled (another meeting with the subcommittee was suggested). The commissioners also want to see material samples of the project at their next meeting, Feb. 4. The commissioners also urged the developers to reach out again to near neighbors, including the Philadelphia Art Museum and the Logan Square Neighborhood Association.
PlanPhilly.com is dedicated to covering design, planning and development issues in Philadelphia. The news website is a project of PennPraxis, the clinical arm of the School of Design of the University of Pennsylvania. It is funded by the Wyncote Foundation.
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Art Commission gives conceptual OK to apartments at 21st and Hamilton
A Dane County judge this week dismissed a lawsuit filed by owners of condominiums in a Downtown building trying to block construction of a 14-story apartment building next door.
Circuit Judge John Albert on Monday denied a request by residents of the Marina condominium building, 137 E. Wilson St ., to reverse a decision by the City Council approving a conditional-use permit to build an apartment building on property at 149 E. Wilson St .
Residents who filed the lawsuit said the 121-apartment project being developed by McGrath Property Group would not have an adequate fire lane and off-street parking for loading and unloading, and would have a noisy ventilation system.
In his ruling, Albert wrote that the City Council proceeded correctly in approving the conditional-use permit for the apartment building. He said the council had substantial evidence to support its decision, and that the decision could only be reversed if there was a lack of substantial evidence.
The building is to be located on the site of a vacant building, slated for demolition, that was last used by the state Department of Corrections.
Ron Trachtenberg, who represents the condo owners in the lawsuit, said he believes an appeal is likely.
He said there is a related lawsuit filed by Marina condo owners alleging that the project violates a fire lane easement that owners of the Marina property have on land that McGrath intends to develop. That case is still pending.
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Judge dismisses lawsuit against downtown apartment development
As construction machinery rumbled at the site of a planned nine-story apartment building on East Palmetto Park Road, renovation has begun directly across the street on an artifact of the city's 1920s boom-time.
The roof has recently been replaced at what's known as the Luff House, at 390 E. Palmetto Park Road, which was built in the 1920s. A dumpster behind the house, filled with construction-related debris, attests to some interior work that has just begun.
And a sign staked in the front shows that the city's largest commercial property owner, Investments Limited, is looking for a tenant for the bungalow-style residence, whose front faade and chimney are made of coral rock.
It has been vacant for three years, raising the city preservation board's concerns that a wrecking ball would soon be in its future.
Skip Sheffield, a longtime Boca resident, said the new investment in the Luff House may be "a stay of execution" for it.
The renovation and the prospect of a new tenant prompted the the Boca Raton Historical Society & Museum to take it off Boca's "endangered" list of historical structures. Luff House's proximity to Boca's current apartment boom has been cause for concern on the city's Historic Preservation Board for a number of years.
The property sold for $857,000 in 2006, and then was sold for $10 by one company, Pios Grande LLC, to a company of the same name, according to records from the Palm Beach County Property Appraiser's Office.
Investments Limited and Pios Grande LLC couldn't be reached for details about the Luff House despite phone calls.
Across the street, 378 apartment units are being built to become "Palmetto Promenade." Within downtown, more than 500 other apartment units are under construction.
"Those of us who care about the property are holding our breath," said Arlene Owens, who serves on the preservation board. "We are hoping someone falls in love with it and leases it."
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Downtown Boca house from 1920s undergoes renovations
HOUSTON -
A construction worker was shot Wednesdayduring a robbery at a job site in northeast Harris County.
Two men, one armed with a gun and one armed with a knife, robbed four of the construction workers at around 7:45 a.m., according to the Harris County Sheriff's Office.
The gunman fired and hit one of the workers in the arm.
Superintendent Derek Peake, who has been in construction for 32 years, said this is the first time he's ever heard of robbers targeting construction workers.
"I was inside the trailer and I heard four small pops and thought, 'That sounds odd,'" Peake said. "My foreman came in and said, 'Call the police, call the ambulance quick.'"
"(The workers) said one guy had a small pistol and one had a knife, and (the robbers) came up and started hollering and cursing, 'Give us all your money.' Before (the workers) had a chance to do anything, (the robbers) grabbed the cellphone -- I guess from one of the guys. They shot four times and only hit the one guy in the arm. One of the guys hollered, 'Police' and that scared (the robbers) and they took off," said Peake.
The suspects fled with a cellphone and some cash and jumped over a fence into a nearby apartment complex.
The man who was shot was taken to the hospital. He is expected to be OK.
The first suspect is described as a black man about 5 feet, 9 inches tall and weighing around 150 pounds. He was wearing a black sweatshirt and black pants with a beanie cap and black glasses.
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Construction worker shot during robbery
MIDDLETOWN The common council has postponed action on an incentive plan that city officials want to offer a developer with plans to build a new downtown residential building beside the MiddleOak office tower.
A Massachusetts developer, Hajjar Management Co., is proposing an upscale 89-unit apartment building at the corner of College and Broad streets adjacent to the MiddleOak office tower. Hajjar owns the property.
The $20 million project would include 3,400 square feet of retail space on the first floor with studios, one bedroom and two bedroom apartments on the second, third and fourth floors.
Council members said they needed more time and more information about the deal, which calls for a seven-year tax freeze and a cap on building permits at $142,600. The council voted Monday night 9-2 to postpone a decision until the Feb. 2 council meeting.
Democratic Majority Leader Thomas Serra said he hopes the city can reopen negotiations to get a deal that is more beneficial to taxpayers. He said there are also remaining questions about the 1987 deal the city offered when Middlesex Mutual built the office tower at Broad and Court streets, and about the impact the new building might have on the school district.
"I support this in the context of what's happening," Serra said. "However it's about fairness to the citizens of Middletown. My intention [in postponing a vote] is to have input and to have answers to all the questions my colleagues asked."
Planning Director Michiel Wackers said the city in 1987 made an $11 million investment into the construction of the office tower, but there wasn't much of a return.
The new offer to Hajjar is an investment of just $18,000, and the city stands to gain hundreds of thousands of dollars in new tax revenue after the project is complete, he said.
"This is revenue that will ultimately reduce the tax burden and we need to keep that in mind," Wackers told the council. "We've struck a deal that's in the interest of taxpayers, as well as in the interest of the developer, to bring new development into Middletown."
Council Republican David Bauer cautioned against rushing an approval for the project, and said more scrutiny is needed to make sure the plan is beneficial to taxpayers.
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Middletown Council Unsure About Tax Abatement Plan For Apartment Building
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) Home builders and investors have poured money into so many new rental units that tenants may see rent growth slow in the near future, one economist said.
While there will likely be robust demand in 2015 from renters and young adults, in particular builders have already started and plan to start enough new apartment projects that the days of excess demand may soon be over, said Ryan Severino, senior economist at Reis, a New York-based research firm focused on commercial real estate.
Demand will struggle to keep pace with the significant amounts of new construction that should come online over the next few years, Severino said.
Growth in rents over coming years should remain positive, according to Reis, but it will likely slow from 2014s heady pace of about 3.5%, which far outpaced overall consumer inflation.
Although an improving labor market with more jobs and faster wage growth should provide landlords with more leverage to increase rents, over time this will be stymied by the sheer number of new units that are going to come online, increasing competition in the market, Severino said.
The frenzy for apartments has been fed by a choppy jobs market that made it tough for workers to set aside enough cash for a down payment. Also, persistently high credit standards have kept singles and families from obtaining a mortgage, a key financial ingredient for many would-be homeowners, particularly first-time buyers.
Seeing an opportunity, developers ramped up apartment building. The rate of private construction spending on new multi-family residences was up 27% in November from the year-earlier pace, more than double a 13% gain for new single-family homes, according to government data. Meanwhile, outstanding multifamily-mortgage debt swelled in the third quarter, rising the most since the end of 2007, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Tuesday.
Rental vacancy rates are the lowest in 20 years, which gives landlords power to raise rents. Government data show that landlords recently ramped up rents by the fastest pace in six years. But that power may taper as the supply of rental units rises.
With a veritable deluge of new supply set to come online over the next few years, vacancy is headed higher. The supply pipeline swells larger and larger on a weekly basis and presents the greatest risk to the apartment markets health, Severino said.
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Capitol Report: Apartment glut may tame rising rents
After all, last year saw the most apartment construction since 2001, with 161,518 new units delivered, according to Reis. Cities like Houston, Austin and Washington, D.C., are seeing an apartment boom, which could start to ease rising rents.
"We work in an industry that has a huge propensity to overbuild." Severino said. "I don't think it's going to be a massive overbuilding, but I do think even with demographics so favorable it's going to be difficult if not impossible for demand to keep pace with supply."
Read MoreOffice sector works its way back
Still, landlords are able to collect higher rents, which rose 3.5 percent in 2014, the best performance since 2007. Rents are setting new records, and the improving labor market, including faster wage growth, will give landlords at least in the short term more leverage to raise rents.
"It is surprising, and an outlier, to have a strengthening fourth quarter when everyone is going home for the holidays," said Alexander Goldfarb, an analyst with Sandler O'Neill. "Rent (price) growth in 2014 surprised everyone."
But as developers start to see too many cranes in major urban markets, they are now setting their sights, too, on the suburbs, where there has not been a building boom and where potential returns are far higher.
Both Avalon Bay and Essex Property Trust are starting to focus their investment dollars on the suburban markets. Essex, which is concentrated on the West Coast, is especially well-positioned.
"Housing is unaffordable in San Francisco, so Essex has been capitalizing on the fact that rent growth has been tremendous," Goldfarb said. "In their development projects, the yields have been way above what they expected."
On the flip side, multifamily real estate developers who also invest on the East Coast, like Equity Residential, are finding the competition from condominium developers in New York City fierce. Both land and labor are now so expensive that the numbers don't work.
Read MoreManhattan apartment prices hit record high
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Will too many apartments pinch the rental market?
THE WAY IT WAS: Here is a photograph of the Kingston Court apartments taken on a snowy day in 1944 by Gordon Feinberg. Ground was broken for the construction of the apartment complex at 203 S. 16th St. on Jan. 8, 1924. A group called the La Crosse Apartment Co., made up of Louis Meier, Hugo Hickisch and Harry Mandel, were the original owners and directed the construction of the building. The apartments were modeled after another apartment building constructed previously in Minneapolis. Cost of the project was approximately $100,000, or about $1.4 million in todays economy. A grand opening for the new building was held on May 17 to May 19, 1924. The apartments boasted built-in ice boxes, steam heat, janitor service and hot water year-round. Local furniture stores such as Gantert Bros. were brought in to temporarily furnish some of the apartments to demonstrate to prospective renters how nice the apartments could look and perhaps provide the local furniture stores with some business.
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Hometown history: Kingston Court apartments
(Reuters) - Britain's construction sector grew at its slowest rate since July 2013 last month, industry data showed on Monday, though house building remained robust, with residential construction enjoying its strongest year since at least 1997.
The Markit/CIPS construction purchasing managers' index fell to 57.6 in December from 59.4 in November, still comfortably above its long-run average but well below economists' forecasts of a slight decline to 59.0.
Readings above 50 denote growth.
The weakest sector was civil engineering, which reported an outright fall in output for the first time since May 2013, while the rapid rate of growth in house-building eased slightly to its lowest since June 2013.
Britain's housing market has cooled since the middle of the year, with mortgage approvals falling to their lowest in more than a year and house price growth slowing.
But Markit said 2014 still marked the best year for British house building since it started collecting records in 1997, news likely to cheer the government which has made boosting this a priority in the run-up to May's national election.
"While new business growth moderated to its lowest for a year-and-a-half in December, UK construction firms are still highly upbeat about their prospects for output growth in 2015," said Tim Moore, senior economist at Markit.
The survey also showed signs that wages might be starting to rise in the sector, with rates paid to subcontractors growing almost as rapidly as November's record-high pace.
Economists are forecasting that after several years of falling real wages, 2015 might bring the first widespread increase in pay since the 2008/09 financial crisis.
Construction makes up 6 percent of Britain's economy. A similar survey of the manufacturing sector published by Markit on Friday also showed slower growth.
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UK Construction PMI Falls To Lowest Since July 2013: Markit/CIPS
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