Paris, Wednesday 6 May 2020, 5:45 p.m. CET
BUSINESS ACTIVITY IN Q1 2020
IMPLICATIONS OF THE PUBLIC-HEALTH CRISIS (COVID-19)
OUTLOOK1
Alain Dinin, Nexitys Chairman and CEO, commented:
After a good start to the year in line with the performance achieved in 2019, Nexity like all other companies was impacted by the coronavirus crisis and the dramatic lockdown measures implemented from March onwards.
This unprecedented crisis is first and foremost a human tragedy, and it has hit our Group directly with the loss of Jean-Philippe Ruggieri, Nexitys Chief Executive Officer, who passed away as a result of the coronavirus, on 23 April.
Nexity has been playing a prominent role in the wave of support for victims of this pandemic and caregivers. In addition to the fantastic initiatives carried out by the Nexity Foundation and the support shown by our own employees, I decided in conjunction with the Board of Directors that we should make an exceptional donation of 3 million to the healthcare staff in the Seine-Saint-Denis and Grand-Est regions, in addition to helping homeless people and disadvantaged women. In this context, I also asked for a 25% reduction in my compensation as Chairman of the Board of Directors and will not receive any remuneration for my term of office as Chief Executive Officers, which I have held since 25 April 2020.
Its also a one-of-a-kind economic crisis, which is significantly impacting supply and demand, and the mark that it leaves will run deep. Nexity estimates that a 15-day lockdown represents almost 130 million in lost revenue.
Its important to keep a level head as we deal with this crisis: while our development activities are severely affected in the short term (as worksites have been brought to a virtual standstill and a return to normal conditions is expected to take several months), we are not worried about getting back to a satisfactory level of activity after the crisis. The demand for residential housing, which is driven by demographic factors and a structural supply deficit, will not disappear: it will be pushed back. And even if some of our individual clients may no longer have a sufficient level of solvency, I am confident that institutional investors will pick up the baton. The resilience of our service businesses also confirms the pertinence of our business model.
At Nexity, we are lucky to be in a business that meets the basic needs of the population. Our business model and our financial position mean that we can be more resilient than many other companies. Nexitys strategy is simple: manage the crisis our number one priority being the health of our employees, customers and residents, and all of our stakeholders and minimize the negative impact on our results; actively organise ourselves for the upturn; prepare to make the most of opportunities that may arise in the future, even if the future is uncertain and subject to change. To get through this difficult period, the Board of Directors decided to entrust me once again with the role of the Companys Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. While I am particularly affected by the circumstances that led to this change, I take on this role with a complete sense of commitment and determination to implement this strategy with the support of the executive management team.
***
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IMPLICATIONS OF THE PUBLIC-HEALTH CRISIS (COVID-19)
Following strong business momentum at the start of 2020, in line with that of the previous year, since 16 March 2020, Nexity has seen a strong negative impact on business activity due to the government-imposed lockdown measures currently in effect in France, with various specific developments for each business line, as presented below.
Business activity
Residential Real Estate
Since 16 March 2020, business has slowed sharply due to lockdown measures limiting the possibility of clients to reserve new homes and sign notarial deeds of sale; however, after a few weeks at a virtual standstill, construction projects are gradually getting underway again. At 30 April 2020, just over 50% of Nexitys 556 residential construction sites had been reopened and all of them should restart by the beginning of June. However, these construction sites are operating at reduced capacity (around half of their capacity) given the constraints linked to the lockdown and additional health precautions.
Regarding the renewal of the offering, the situation is mixed. For the 30,000 municipalities that elected their mayors in the first round of the elections, new administrative authorisations continue but at a reduced pace in view of the lockdown period. For the other municipalities, the postponement of the second round of local elections will delay building permits as well as the commercial launch of new projects. In addition, due to the public-health emergency, deadlines for appeals have been extended, thereby delaying the allocation of definitive permits.
During the lockdown period, Nexity maintained many customer contacts with its individual customers, albeit to a lesser extent than under normal circumstances, which in turn led to a net positive balance of reservations for April (reservations for the period net of cancellations). In addition, announcements published by institutional investors (CDC Habitat and inli) regarding the launch of a massive housing acquisition programme (50,000 units) will boost business activity. In this context, Nexity and CDC Habitat signed a firm commitment at end-April for the sale of 7,450 units representing 1,234 million excluding VAT. Half of these social, intermediate and conventional housing units located all over France are expected to be sold before end-December 2020.
Real Estate Services to Individuals
Property Management for Individuals
The public-health crisis has not had a significant impact on Property Management for Individuals, which is very resilient: the ordinances passed on 25 March 2020 have made it possible to postpone annual meetings of condominium property owners until after the lockdown, thus ensuring continuity and guaranteeing the proper management of condominiums.
Brokerage activities (lettings and sales by Nexity agencies and Century 21 franchises) have been affected by the lockdown measures and have virtually been at a standstill since 16 March 2020.
Serviced residences
Student residences (Studa) saw a number of students leave their residences at the beginning of the lockdown period. However, the impact on revenue is gradual, given the notice period. The occupancy rate should start recovering this summer, as students courses will restart on 1 September 2020.
For senior independent living facilities, Domitys has implemented stringent health precautions since 15 March to protect its residents and employees, resulting in a very limited Covid-19 infection rate at this stage, given the circumstances, and ensuring robust continuity of operations. The occupancy rate of residences that have been open for more than 2 years was only slightly affected. Residences that have been open for less than 2 years will have their occupancy period extended. A number of new residences initially planned to open in 2020 have been postponed to financial year 2021.
Distribution activities
Distribution activities have been affected, with a significantly lower volume of reservations since the start of the governments lockdown measures.
Commercial Real Estate
Commercial Real Estate business has slowed significantly since the start of the public-health crisis due to the extension of deadlines for obtaining building permits and the halting of construction work. Despite this context, projects are continuing, such as the sale of the Influence 2.0 building in Saint-Ouen (Seine-Saint-Denis) on 16 April, occupied by the Rgion le-de-France for over 200 million (acquired by BNPP Reim), achieved with the conditions and within the timetable set before the crisis. In addition, lockdown measures do not threaten the prospects of obtaining administrative authorizations for the operation of the eco-business park in La Garenne-Colombes (Hauts-de-Seine) this year, which has been under option since the fourth quarter of 2019, and is still expected to be sold at the end of 2020.
Real Estate Services to Companies
The coworking business, which was forced to close all its workspaces since 16 March 2020, has been affected with activity virtually at a standstill since 16 March 2020. Leases remain in effect and are subject to discussions regarding payment procedures.
. Conversely, the Property Management for Companies business was only slightly affected.
Financial aspects
Sensitivity of the income statement
The impact of the lockdown mainly results in revenue being pushed back to subsequent periods.
Given the cost structure of the Groups business activities, this revenue postponement has a differentiated impact on the Groups EBITDA.
In development and distribution activities, the lack of technical and commercial progress during the lockdown period will result in a significant decrease in revenue. However, in these businesses, costs are largely variable and fixed charges represent less than 10% of the cost price of operations; the decrease in revenue will have a limited impact on EBITDA (although an additional negative impact can be anticipated from losses on overhead expenses not included in inventories during the shutdown period, and from an increase in construction costs due to the additional costs of restarting work).
As for property management for individuals, serviced residences and shared office space activities, which have higher fixed costs, the negative impact on EBITDA resulting from the decrease in revenue will be far more significant. However, the resilience of property management for individuals has significantly limited the drop in revenue (around 70% of the property management for individuals business is unaffected by the lockdown). However, activity is impacted by the absence of transactions, finding tenants and fees paid on construction works which cannot be approved without convening a co-owners meeting.Measures taken to furlough staff and plans to cut operating expenses should also help limit this impact by more effectively controlling fixed costs.
Financial position
The Groups cash position remains very strong, with 722 million in total cash at 30 April 2020, plus 555million in confirmed credit lines not drawn down.
As a precautionary measure, and in anticipation of the impact of the public-health crisis on its EBITDA, Nexity has secured exemption from its requirement to abide by a limit on the leverage ratio until the closing of the financial statements for the 2021 financial year. A written consultation with Euro PP bondholders is underway to obtain the same exemption from the limit on the leverage ratio.
Outlook
At this stage, it remains very difficult to evaluate the effects of the Covid-19 crisis and the lockdown measures imposed by the Government on 16March2020 and currently extended until 11May2020. There continues to be great uncertainty as to how economic activity will resume in France.
The Group is confident in the resilience of its main business lines. The current public-health crisis will nevertheless have a marked impact on its activities, revenue and results, an impact that cannot yet be determined at this stage.
Nexitys civic engagement
France is facing a public-health crisis of unprecedented scale and complexity, with many uncertainties surrounding the path to economic recovery. In this unique context, the Board of Directors, the management team and all of the Groups employees have implemented a number of measures reaffirming Nexitys commitment to society, among which:
BUSINESS ACTIVITY IN Q1 2020
INDIVIDUAL CLIENTS
Residential Real Estate
At end-March 2020, net new home reservations in France totalled 3,657 units for 792 million including VAT, down 6% by volume and up 2% by value with respect to end-March 2019. After including subdivisions (360 units), international sales (165 reservations), business activity for Residential Real Estate (4,182 units reserved, for 847 million including VAT) remained stable in volume and grew 6% by value. The Covid-19 related health-crisis had a limited impact on Q1 2020 reservations.
The average level of pre-selling booked at the start of construction work was very high (90% at end-March 2020). The supply of homes for sale dropped back 12% from its end-December 2019 level to stand at 7,799 units at end-March 2020, due to a particularly swift average take-up period of 4.3 months3 (compared with 4.9 months in Q1 2019) and few new sales launches. Unsold completed stock (78 units) as a proportion of the total supply for sale remained very low.
At end-March 2020, the business potential for new homes4 rose 2% from end-2019 to 56,251 units, i.e. 2.6 years of development operations. This represented potential revenue of 10.9 billion excluding VAT. Including subdivisions and international operations, the business potential of Residential Real Estate represents 12.3 billion in potential revenue excluding VAT. This strong potential means that the Nexity has the capacity to recover when economic conditions improve.
Real Estate Services to Individuals
Property Management for Individuals
In Property Management for Individuals, excluding Franchises (condominium management, rental management, lettings and brokerage), the portfolio of units under management totalled over 885,000 units at 31 March 2020, stable relative to end-December 20195.
Serviced residences
Nexity Studa had 124 student residences under management at 31 March 2020, totalling more than 15,000 units. The rolling 12-month occupancy rate was 95% at end-March 2020 (stable relative to end-December 2019).
The Domitys-branded senior independent living facilities business posted growth. 4 new residences have been opened since the beginning of the year, increasing its portfolio of serviced residences to 104, corresponding to over 12,000 residential units (of which 72 residences opened more than two years ago). At end-March 2020, the rolling 12-month occupancy rate was 84% (stable relative to end-December 2019). Residences opened more than two years ago posted a 95% occupancy rate at end-March 2020.
Distribution activities
iSelection and PERL recorded 1,022 reservations in the first quarter of 2020 (up 3% compared with Q1 2019). More than half of these reservations were homes distributed on behalf of third-party developers or through the division of ownership of existing property, with the rest made up of homes produced by the Group.
COMMERCIAL CLIENTS NEXITY ENTERPRISE SOLUTIONS
Commercial Real Estate
Business activity was not significant in the first quarter of 2020 (3 million excluding VAT in new orders) but exceeded 200 million at 30 April 2020 with the sale of the Saint-Ouen Htel de Rgion (regional council premises, Seine-Saint-Denis)6.
Business potential in Commercial Real Estate7 totalled nearly 3.0 billion at end-March 2020 (remaining stable since end-2019). This includes the La Garenne-Colombes project, which is expected to be signed by the end of 2020.
Real Estate Services to Companies
The volume of floor area under management totalled 19.4 million sq.m at end-March 2020.
At end-March 2020, Morning Coworking a leading player in the Paris coworking space market operated 21 coworking spaces totalling more than 50,000 sq.m and corresponding to around 6,000 workstations. During the first quarter, a lease was signed for the repurposing of the Htel de la Marine on Place de la Concorde in Paris (645 workstations).
BACKLOG AND BUSINESS POTENTIAL AT 31 MARCH 2020
The Groups backlog at end-March 2020 stood at 5,194 million (4,796 million for Residential Real Estate and 398 million for Commercial Real Estate), equivalent to 19 months revenue from Nexitys development activities (revenue on a rolling 12-month basis). The backlog increased by 2% since 31 December 2019.
Furthermore, the development business potential at end-March 2020 totalled over 15 billion in revenue (12 billion for Residential Real Estate and 3 billion for Commercial Real Estate) providing the Group with high visibility on its future business levels.
REVENUE8
Revenue for the first quarter of 2020 was 787 million, down 94 million or 11% compared to Q1 2019. The negative impact related to the slowdown of activities observed since 16 March 2020 is estimated at around 130 million, representing the equivalent of 14% of the revenue recorded for the previous year, most of which will be carried forward to the following quarters. Excluding the negative impact of the public-health crisis, revenue would have risen by 4%.
* Revenue generated by Residential Real Estate and Commercial Real Estate from VEFA off-plan sales and CPI development contracts is recognised using the percentage-of-completion method, i.e. on the basis of notarised sales and pro-rated to reflect the progress of inventoriable costs.
The Residential Real Estate division recorded a decrease in revenue of 62 million, representing a decrease of 11% relative to Q1 2019. Excluding the negative impact of the public-health crisis (approximately 110 million of business activity carried over from the last 15 days of March 2020 to the following quarters), Residential Real Estate revenue would have risen by 8%.
Real Estate Services to Individuals posted revenue of 211 million for the quarter ended 31 March 2020.
Revenue from Property Management for Individuals and franchises was down 6% relative to Q1 2019. This change mainly resulted from the sale of Guy Hoquet lImmobilier in Q2 2019 and from the impact of the public-health crisis.
Revenue from Distribution activities was down 9% relative to Q1 2019. Excluding the negative impact of the public-health crisis (approximately 14 million), revenue would have risen by 20%.
Revenue from Serviced residences grew by 17% in Q1 2020 and reflects the growth in managed residences.
The decrease in revenue from Commercial Real Estate (down 42%) is the result of a high comparison base and volatility effects that are standard in this business, given the advanced stages of the various projects. The negative impact of the public-health crisis is estimated at around 6 million.
Revenue from Real Estate Services to Companies amounted to 27 million (up 6.5 million), mainly driven by the increase in revenue from Morning Coworking (up 5 million), which is double the revenue recorded in Q1 2019.
Revenue under IFRS
In IFRS terms, revenue in the first quarter of 2020 totalled 723 million, down 13% relative to Q1 2019. This figure excludes revenue from joint ventures, in accordance with IFRS 11, which requires joint ventures proportionately consolidated in the Groups operational reporting to be accounted for using the equity method.
FINANCIAL CALENDAR & PRACTICAL INFORMATION
(remote participation only)
A conference call on Q1 2020 revenue and business activity will be held in English today at 6:30 p.m. CET, which may be joined using access code 6089145 by calling one of the following numbers:
The presentation accompanying this conference will be available on the Groups website from 6:15 p.m. CET and may be viewed at the following address: https://orange.webcasts.com/starthere.jsp?ei=1310111&tp_key=01ec69a57b
The conference call will be available on replay at https://www.nexity.fr/en/group/finance from the following day.
Disclaimer
AT NEXITY, WE AIM TO SERVE ALL OUR CLIENTS AS THEIR REAL ESTATE NEEDS EVOLVENexity offers the widest range of advice and expertise, products, services and solutions for individuals, companies and local authorities, so as to best meet the needs of our clients and respond to their concerns.Our business lines real estate brokerage, management, design, development, planning, advisory and related services are now optimally organised to serve and support our clients. As the benchmark operator in our sector, we are resolutely committed to all of our clients, but also to the environment and society as a whole.
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Nexity: Q1 2020 business activity and revenue - Implications of the public-health crisis (Covid-19) - GlobeNewswire
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